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Every day at 17:00 UTC an observer/forecaster on duty at SPS issued a probabilistic flare forecast for three solar flare classes C, M and X. These flare classes are defined according the peak of the flux of soft X-ray radiation produced by the flare. The forecast consist of two parts: full disk per visible active regions. Full disc flare forecast then combines the probabilities of flare occurence in visible active regions into a one global forecast. The forecast is human generated and is valid for next 24 hours from the time of issue. This product provides: percentual probabilities of flares occurence (C/M/X classes) for full disc; for active regions NOAA number (NOAA no.), NOAA location, SPS internal archive number (Ondřejov no.), Ondřejov location, percentual flare probabilities (C/M/X classes).

This product is accessible via API as an XML file.


Date and time of observation: 2026-03-05 06:29 UTC
Issued: 2026-03-05 17:00 UTC
Observer: Karolina Knesplova
Seeing conditions: 5
Analyzed data: Ondrejov Observatory
Relative sunspot number: 88
Activity level: low

FULL DISK

C % M % X %
99 35 10

ACTIVE REGIONS

NOAA no. NOAA LOCATION ONDREJOV no. ONDREJOV LOCATION C % M % X %
4378 N16W18@2026-03-05 04:30 UTC 036 N16W21@2026-03-05 06:29 UTC 45 20 5
4381 N08E13@2026-03-05 04:30 UTC 039 N07E07@2026-03-05 06:29 UTC 85 30 10
4383 N15W58@2026-03-05 04:30 UTC 041 N14W52@2026-03-05 06:29 UTC 30 5 1
4384 N09E37@2026-03-05 04:30 UTC 042 N09E32@2026-03-05 06:29 UTC 99 35 10
4385 S08E28@2026-03-05 04:30 UTC 043 S08E26@2026-03-05 06:29 UTC 40 15 5